Another risk assessment tool is the Rockall score (table 1). Rockall et al (1996) identified risk factors in 4185 patients with an upper GI haemorrhage. The score was validated on a further population of 625 patients and found to predict mortality but not the rate of re-bleeding (table 2). [10]
The score consists of three clinical parameters (age, presence of shock, and comorbidity) and two parameters that rely on endoscopic findings (blood and diagnosis). The maximum pre-endoscopy Rockall score is 7 and post-endoscopy is 11. A Rockall score of 3 before endoscopy approximates with a 10% mortality rate and a score of 6, a 50% mortality rate.
The main disadvantage of the Rockall score is that it requires findings at endoscopy to calculate all the components of the score. However, the pre-endoscopy score can be used to help to identify those with high mortality that may benefit from critical care admission.
Learning Bite
Both the Glasgow-Blatchford and Rockall scores are useful tools to aid the clinician in identifying high-risk upper GI bleeds. The Glasgow-Blatchford Score can be used in conjunction with clinical assessment to identify low-risk patients who may be suitable for discharge from the emergency department to attend outpatient follow-up.
Table 1. Calculating the Rockall Score
|
Variable |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
Age |
<60 |
60-79 |
>80 |
|
|
Shock |
‘none’ BP>100 P<100 |
‘tachycardia’ BP>100 P>100 |
‘hypotension’ BP<100 |
|
|
Comorbidity |
None |
Cardiac failure or IHD |
Renal failure, liver failure or disseminated malignancy |
|
|
Endoscopy |
No blood or dark spot only |
Blood in upper GI tract, adherent clot or spurting vessel |
||
|
Diagnosis |
Mallory-Weiss tear |
All other diagnoses |
GI tract malignancy |
Table 2. Mortality rates, by pre-endoscopy score
| Score | Mortality % |
| 0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 2.4 |
| 2 | 5.6 |
| 3 | 11 |
| 4 | 24.6 |
| 5 | 39.6 |
| 6 | 48.9 |
| 7 | 50 |